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IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation HL · 13.2: Probability Distributions · 13.2.12
Name Date
The sum of two independent Poisson variables Problem set B
Rescale to the same period, add the means, then use the Poisson cdf or pdf. Give probabilities to 3 significant figures.
Each question matches the question with the same number in set A. Do the ones you got wrong there.
Difficulty: first skills applying them stretch
Skills
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X and Y are independent, with \(X \sim \text{Po}(2.8)\) and \(Y \sim \text{Po}(4.6)\). Let Z = X + Y.
- (a) Write down the distribution of Z.
- (b) Find \(P(Z = 6)\).
- (c) Find \(P(Z > 8)\).
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For each situation, give one reason why the assumptions of a constant average rate and independence may not hold.
- (a) The number of calls a pizza restaurant receives each hour for delivery, and the number it receives for collection, modelled as independent Poisson variables.
- (b) The number of pupils in a school who catch a stomach bug each week, and the number who catch a cold, modelled as independent Poisson variables.
In context
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Parcels arrive at a sorting office from depot P at a constant average rate of 6.3 per hour and from depot Q at 2.9 per hour. Assume the two counts are independent Poisson variables. Find the probability that more than 9 parcels arrive in one hour.
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A bike shop sells helmets at a constant average rate of 2 per hour and lights at a constant average rate of 9 per 3 hours. Assume the two counts are independent Poisson variables. Find the probability that at least 16 helmets and lights are sold in 3 hours.
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A library issues fiction books at a constant average rate of 15 per hour and non-fiction books at a constant average rate of 11 per hour. Assume the two counts are independent Poisson variables. Z is the total number of books per hour.
- (a) Write down the distribution of Z.
- (b) Find \(P(Z \le 22)\).
- (c) Give two reasons why the assumption that the counts are independent Poisson variables is unlikely to hold.
Stretch
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Two independent groups of visitors reach a museum entrance: group R at a constant average rate of 3.9 per minute and group S at 5.6 per minute. Assume both counts are Poisson variables. Z is the total number per minute. Find the mean and standard deviation of Z, and the probability that Z is within one standard deviation of its mean.
- (a) The mean of Z.
- (b) The standard deviation of Z.
- (c) The probability that Z is within one standard deviation of its mean.
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X and Y are independent Poisson variables. Y has mean 8, and Z = X + Y has mean 12.5. Find the mean of X, and find P(Z ≥ 16).
- (a) The mean of X.
- (b) \(P(Z \ge 16)\)
jmaths.xyz · AI HL · 13.2.12 The sum of two independent Poisson variables