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IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation HL · 13.2: Probability Distributions · 13.2.13
Name Date
Mixed practice: Poisson distribution Problem set A
Define X and state its distribution. Write the calculator settings you used, keep unrounded values for later parts, and give probabilities to 3 significant figures.
Difficulty: first skills applying them stretch
Skills
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X ~ Po(6.5).
- (a) Find P(X = 5).
- (b) Find P(X ≤ 8).
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X ~ Po(3.7).
- (a) Find P(X < 4).
- (b) Find P(X ≥ 2).
- (c) Find P(X > 5).
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X ~ Po(9.2).
- (a) Find P(6 ≤ X ≤ 10).
- (b) Find P(6 < X < 10).
- (c) Find P(6 ≤ X < 10).
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X ~ Po(7.7). Write down
- (a) E(X).
- (b) Var(X).
- (c) the standard deviation of X.
In context
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A help desk receives telephone calls at a mean rate of 21 per hour. The number of calls in any period has a Poisson distribution.
- (a) State the distribution of the number of calls in a 20 minute period.
- (b) Find the probability of exactly 9 calls in a 20 minute period.
- (c) Find the probability of no calls in a 5 minute period.
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Customers enter a shop through the front door at a mean rate of 7.3 per hour and through the side door at a mean rate of 4.1 per hour. Each number of arrivals has a Poisson distribution and the two are independent.
- (a) State the distribution of the total number of arrivals, T, in one hour.
- (b) Find the probability that the total is more than 14.
- (c) Give one reason why the two counts may not be independent.
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The number of support tickets that a website receives in one day has a Poisson distribution with mean 9.4.
- (a) Find the probability that there are more than 12 tickets in one day.
- (b) Find the probability that there are more than 12 tickets on each of three consecutive days.
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The number of faults on a machine in one day has a Poisson distribution. The probability of at least one fault in a day is 0.7.
- (a) Find the mean λ.
- (b) Find the probability that there are more than 2 faults in a day.
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The number of landslides in a valley in one year has a Poisson distribution. The probability of more than 2 landslides in a year is 0.35.
- (a) Find the mean λ.
- (b) Find the probability that there are fewer than 2 landslides in a year.
- (c) Say whether a Poisson distribution is likely to be a good model, giving a reason.
Stretch
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The number of ink smudges on a printed page has a Poisson distribution with mean 2.6.
- (a) Find the most likely number of smudges on a page. Justify your answer.
- (b) Find the probability that there are at least 2 smudges on a page.
- (c) There are 14 pages. Find the probability that fewer than half of them have at least 2 smudges on a page.
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The number of customers arriving at a kiosk in a 5 minute period has a Poisson distribution with mean 2.7.
- (a) Find the probability that at least 2 arrive.
- (b) Given that at least 2 arrive, find the probability that exactly 4 arrive.
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A tool shop has 2 pressure washers to hire by the day. The number of requests per day has a Poisson distribution with mean 1.7. On a day with one request, one washer is hired. On a day with 2 or more requests, both are hired and the extra requests are refused. Assume the two washers are hired equally often.
- (a) Find the probability that no pressure washer is hired.
- (b) Find the probability that some requests have to be refused.
- (c) Over 250 days, find the expected number of days on which a particular pressure washer is in use.
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A florist sells bouquets at a mean rate of 3.7 per day, with a Poisson distribution. A delivery of bouquets arrives every 4 days and the stock must last until the next delivery.
- (a) State the distribution of the number of bouquets demanded in 4 days.
- (b) Find the smallest number of bouquets that should be in stock at the start so that the probability that demand is greater than the stock is at most 0.05.
jmaths.xyz · AI HL · 13.2.13 Mixed practice: Poisson distribution