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IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation HL · 13.2: Probability Distributions · 13.2.9

Inverse normal and normal practice Problem set A One question at a time

Try each question on paper first. Open the working a line at a time, then say whether you had it.

Skills

  1. The height of a variety of sunflower is normally distributed with mean 210 cm and standard deviation 18 cm. The shortest 15% of plants are given extra fertiliser. Find the height below which a plant is given extra fertiliser.

    • P(X < k) = 0.15
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.15, μ = 210, σ = 18
    • k = 191
  2. Scores on an aptitude test are normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 15. The top 8% of scores are invited to an interview. Find the lowest score that gets an interview.

    • P(X > k) = 0.08, so P(X < k) = 0.92
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.92, μ = 100, σ = 15
    • k = 121
  3. \(X \sim N(120, 15^2)\). Find the value of k such that \(P(110 < X < k) = 0.35\).

    • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 110, μ = 120, σ = 15: 0.2525
    • \(P(X < k) = 0.2525 + 0.35 = 0.6025\)
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.6025, μ = 120, σ = 15
    • k = 124
  4. The time taken by athletes to complete a 5 km run is normally distributed with mean 26.0 minutes and standard deviation 3.2 minutes.

    1. (a) Find the lower quartile.

      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.25, μ = 26, σ = 3.2
      • Q1 = 23.8
    2. (b) Find the upper quartile.

      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.75, μ = 26, σ = 3.2
      • Q3 = 28.2
    3. (c) Find the interquartile range.

      • IQR = Q3 − Q1 = 4.32 (from the unrounded quartiles)
  5. The daily sales of a café are normally distributed with mean 180 cups and standard deviation 25 cups. Find the probability that the café sells more than 200 cups on a day.

    • \(X \sim N(180, 25^2)\)
    • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 200, upper = 10^99, μ = 180, σ = 25
    • P = 0.212
  6. The mass of a strawberry is normally distributed with mean 24 g and standard deviation 3.5 g. In a delivery of 800 strawberries, find the expected number heavier than 30 g.

    • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 30, upper = 10^99, μ = 24, σ = 3.5: 0.04324
    • \(800 \times 0.04324 = 34.6\)
    • About 35 strawberries
  7. The time, in seconds, that a swimmer takes to swim 50 m is normally distributed with mean 31.4 and standard deviation 1.2. A coach calls the middle 60% of her times typical. Find the shortest and longest typical time.

    • The middle 60% leaves 40%, so 20% in each tail
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.2, μ = 31.4, σ = 1.2: 30.4
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.8, μ = 31.4, σ = 1.2: 32.4
    • The interval is 30.4 to 32.4 s
  8. \(X \sim N(\mu, 6^2)\) and \(P(X < 40) = 0.3\). Find the value of \(\mu\).

    • The unknown is μ. σ = 6
    • From the calculator: solve normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 40, μ = m, σ = 6 equal to 0.3, for m
    • μ = 43.1

In context

  1. The time a player takes to complete a puzzle is normally distributed with mean 38 minutes and standard deviation 7 minutes. 90% of players finish within t minutes. Find t.

    • \(P(X < t) = 0.9\)
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.9, μ = 38, σ = 7
    • t = 47.0 minutes
  2. The mass of a tomato is normally distributed with mean 70 g and standard deviation 12 g. A grower sorts 2 000 tomatoes. Small tomatoes (under 55 g) sell for €0.20 each, medium tomatoes (55 g to 80 g) for €0.35 each and large tomatoes (over 80 g) for €0.50 each. Find the expected income.

    • P(small) = 0.106, P(medium) = 0.692, P(large) = 0.202 (calculator values, kept unrounded)
    • Expected numbers: 211 small, 1384 medium, 405 large
    • \(211 \times 0.20 + 1380 \times 0.35 + 405 \times 0.50\), using the unrounded numbers
    • Expected income = €729.00
  3. The time, in minutes, that a customer waits for a call to be answered is modelled by a normal distribution with mean 6 and standard deviation 3.5.

    1. (a) Find the probability that the model gives a negative value.

      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 0, μ = 6, σ = 3.5
      • P(X < 0) = 0.0432
    2. (b) What does your answer tell you about the model?

      • A waiting time cannot be negative, but the model gives it probability 0.0432.
      • The mean is close to 0 relative to the spread, so the normal curve is a poor fit.
  4. The diameter of a drill bit is normally distributed with mean 8.00 mm and standard deviation 0.05 mm. A drill bit is defective if its diameter is less than 7.9 mm. A batch of 10 bits is taken.

    1. (a) Find the probability that one is below the limit given in the question.

      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 7.9, μ = 8, σ = 0.05
      • p = 0.0228
    2. (b) Find the probability that at least one bit in the batch is defective.

      • \(Y \sim B(10, 0.02275)\)
      • From the calculator: binomial cdf with n = 10, p = 0.02275, upper = 0: 0.7944
      • P(Y ≥ 1) = 1 − 0.7944 = 0.206
    3. (c) State two assumptions you made in part (b).

      • The events are independent of each other.
      • The probability p is constant for every one.
  5. A machine pours coffee into cups. The volume is normally distributed with mean 180 ml. 3% of cups contain less than 170 ml.

    1. (a) Find the standard deviation.

      • X ~ N(180, σ²). P(X < 170) = 0.03
      • From the calculator: solve normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 170, μ = 180, σ = s equal to 0.03, for s
      • σ = 5.32
    2. (b) Find the probability that a cup holds more than 188 ml.

      • P(X > 188) = 1 − P(X < 188)
      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 188, upper = 10^99, μ = 180, σ = 5.3169…: 0.0662

Stretch

  1. The masses of 400 rams are normally distributed with mean 75 kg and standard deviation 6 kg. The lightest ram has mass 60 kg and the heaviest 91 kg. Complete a box plot of the masses.

    1. (a) Find the median, lower quartile and upper quartile.

      • The median of a normal distribution is the mean: 75
      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.25, μ = 75, σ = 6: 71.0
      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.75, μ = 75, σ = 6: 79.0
    2. (b) Write the five numbers for the box plot and describe its shape.

      • Five numbers: 60, 71.0, 75, 79.0, 91
      • Draw the box from Q1 to Q3, the median line at the mean, and whiskers to the lowest and highest values. The plot is symmetric.
  2. The time in minutes that a customer spends in a shop is modelled by a normal distribution with mean 5.2 and standard deviation 3.1.

    1. (a) How many standard deviations is the mean above 0?

      • \(5.2 \div 3.1 = 1.68\)
    2. (b) Explain why a normal distribution is not a suitable model.

      • 1.68 is less than 2.
      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 0, μ = 5.2, σ = 3.1: 0.0467
      • The model gives a probability of 0.0467 to a negative time, which cannot happen.
  3. The height, H metres, of the trees in a plantation is normally distributed. 12% of trees are shorter than 9 m and 30% are taller than 14 m.

    1. (a) Find the mean and the standard deviation.

      • P(H < 9) = 0.12: inverse normal with area = 0.12, μ = 0, σ = 1: z = -1.1750
      • P(H > 14) = 0.3, so area = 0.7: z = 0.5244
      • μ − 1.1750σ = 9 and μ + 0.5244σ = 14
      • From the calculator: simultaneous equations: σ = 2.94, μ = 12.5
    2. (b) Find the probability that a tree is more than 16 m.

      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 16, upper = 10^99, μ = 12.4571…, σ = 2.9422…: 0.114

jmaths.xyz · AI HL · 13.2.9 Inverse normal calculations and normal practice