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IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation HL · 13.2: Probability Distributions · 13.2.9
Inverse normal and normal practice Problem set A One question at a time
Try each question on paper first. Open the working a line at a time, then say whether you had it.
Skills
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The height of a variety of sunflower is normally distributed with mean 210 cm and standard deviation 18 cm. The shortest 15% of plants are given extra fertiliser. Find the height below which a plant is given extra fertiliser.
- P(X < k) = 0.15
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.15, μ = 210, σ = 18
- k = 191
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Scores on an aptitude test are normally distributed with mean 100 and standard deviation 15. The top 8% of scores are invited to an interview. Find the lowest score that gets an interview.
- P(X > k) = 0.08, so P(X < k) = 0.92
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.92, μ = 100, σ = 15
- k = 121
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\(X \sim N(120, 15^2)\). Find the value of k such that \(P(110 < X < k) = 0.35\).
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 110, μ = 120, σ = 15: 0.2525
- \(P(X < k) = 0.2525 + 0.35 = 0.6025\)
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.6025, μ = 120, σ = 15
- k = 124
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The time taken by athletes to complete a 5 km run is normally distributed with mean 26.0 minutes and standard deviation 3.2 minutes.
(a) Find the lower quartile.
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.25, μ = 26, σ = 3.2
- Q1 = 23.8
(b) Find the upper quartile.
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.75, μ = 26, σ = 3.2
- Q3 = 28.2
(c) Find the interquartile range.
- IQR = Q3 − Q1 = 4.32 (from the unrounded quartiles)
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The daily sales of a café are normally distributed with mean 180 cups and standard deviation 25 cups. Find the probability that the café sells more than 200 cups on a day.
- \(X \sim N(180, 25^2)\)
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 200, upper = 10^99, μ = 180, σ = 25
- P = 0.212
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The mass of a strawberry is normally distributed with mean 24 g and standard deviation 3.5 g. In a delivery of 800 strawberries, find the expected number heavier than 30 g.
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 30, upper = 10^99, μ = 24, σ = 3.5: 0.04324
- \(800 \times 0.04324 = 34.6\)
- About 35 strawberries
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The time, in seconds, that a swimmer takes to swim 50 m is normally distributed with mean 31.4 and standard deviation 1.2. A coach calls the middle 60% of her times typical. Find the shortest and longest typical time.
- The middle 60% leaves 40%, so 20% in each tail
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.2, μ = 31.4, σ = 1.2: 30.4
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.8, μ = 31.4, σ = 1.2: 32.4
- The interval is 30.4 to 32.4 s
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\(X \sim N(\mu, 6^2)\) and \(P(X < 40) = 0.3\). Find the value of \(\mu\).
- The unknown is μ. σ = 6
- From the calculator: solve normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 40, μ = m, σ = 6 equal to 0.3, for m
- μ = 43.1
In context
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The time a player takes to complete a puzzle is normally distributed with mean 38 minutes and standard deviation 7 minutes. 90% of players finish within t minutes. Find t.
- \(P(X < t) = 0.9\)
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.9, μ = 38, σ = 7
- t = 47.0 minutes
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The mass of a tomato is normally distributed with mean 70 g and standard deviation 12 g. A grower sorts 2 000 tomatoes. Small tomatoes (under 55 g) sell for €0.20 each, medium tomatoes (55 g to 80 g) for €0.35 each and large tomatoes (over 80 g) for €0.50 each. Find the expected income.
- P(small) = 0.106, P(medium) = 0.692, P(large) = 0.202 (calculator values, kept unrounded)
- Expected numbers: 211 small, 1384 medium, 405 large
- \(211 \times 0.20 + 1380 \times 0.35 + 405 \times 0.50\), using the unrounded numbers
- Expected income = €729.00
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The time, in minutes, that a customer waits for a call to be answered is modelled by a normal distribution with mean 6 and standard deviation 3.5.
(a) Find the probability that the model gives a negative value.
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 0, μ = 6, σ = 3.5
- P(X < 0) = 0.0432
(b) What does your answer tell you about the model?
- A waiting time cannot be negative, but the model gives it probability 0.0432.
- The mean is close to 0 relative to the spread, so the normal curve is a poor fit.
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The diameter of a drill bit is normally distributed with mean 8.00 mm and standard deviation 0.05 mm. A drill bit is defective if its diameter is less than 7.9 mm. A batch of 10 bits is taken.
(a) Find the probability that one is below the limit given in the question.
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 7.9, μ = 8, σ = 0.05
- p = 0.0228
(b) Find the probability that at least one bit in the batch is defective.
- \(Y \sim B(10, 0.02275)\)
- From the calculator: binomial cdf with n = 10, p = 0.02275, upper = 0: 0.7944
- P(Y ≥ 1) = 1 − 0.7944 = 0.206
(c) State two assumptions you made in part (b).
- The events are independent of each other.
- The probability p is constant for every one.
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A machine pours coffee into cups. The volume is normally distributed with mean 180 ml. 3% of cups contain less than 170 ml.
(a) Find the standard deviation.
- X ~ N(180, σ²). P(X < 170) = 0.03
- From the calculator: solve normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 170, μ = 180, σ = s equal to 0.03, for s
- σ = 5.32
(b) Find the probability that a cup holds more than 188 ml.
- P(X > 188) = 1 − P(X < 188)
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 188, upper = 10^99, μ = 180, σ = 5.3169…: 0.0662
Stretch
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The masses of 400 rams are normally distributed with mean 75 kg and standard deviation 6 kg. The lightest ram has mass 60 kg and the heaviest 91 kg. Complete a box plot of the masses.
(a) Find the median, lower quartile and upper quartile.
- The median of a normal distribution is the mean: 75
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.25, μ = 75, σ = 6: 71.0
- From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.75, μ = 75, σ = 6: 79.0
(b) Write the five numbers for the box plot and describe its shape.
- Five numbers: 60, 71.0, 75, 79.0, 91
- Draw the box from Q1 to Q3, the median line at the mean, and whiskers to the lowest and highest values. The plot is symmetric.
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The time in minutes that a customer spends in a shop is modelled by a normal distribution with mean 5.2 and standard deviation 3.1.
(a) How many standard deviations is the mean above 0?
- \(5.2 \div 3.1 = 1.68\)
(b) Explain why a normal distribution is not a suitable model.
- 1.68 is less than 2.
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 0, μ = 5.2, σ = 3.1: 0.0467
- The model gives a probability of 0.0467 to a negative time, which cannot happen.
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The height, H metres, of the trees in a plantation is normally distributed. 12% of trees are shorter than 9 m and 30% are taller than 14 m.
(a) Find the mean and the standard deviation.
- P(H < 9) = 0.12: inverse normal with area = 0.12, μ = 0, σ = 1: z = -1.1750
- P(H > 14) = 0.3, so area = 0.7: z = 0.5244
- μ − 1.1750σ = 9 and μ + 0.5244σ = 14
- From the calculator: simultaneous equations: σ = 2.94, μ = 12.5
(b) Find the probability that a tree is more than 16 m.
- From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 16, upper = 10^99, μ = 12.4571…, σ = 2.9422…: 0.114
jmaths.xyz · AI HL · 13.2.9 Inverse normal calculations and normal practice