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IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation HL · 13.2: Probability Distributions · 13.2.9

Inverse normal and normal practice Problem set B One question at a time

Try each question on paper first. Open the working a line at a time, then say whether you had it.

Skills

  1. The time a runner takes to complete a 200 m race is normally distributed with mean 25.4 s and standard deviation 1.2 s. The fastest 5% of runners reach the final. Find the slowest time that reaches the final.

    • P(X < k) = 0.05
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.05, μ = 25.4, σ = 1.2
    • k = 23.4
  2. The monthly pay of workers in a factory is normally distributed with mean €2 400 and standard deviation €350. The top 12% of earners pay a higher rate of tax. Find the lowest pay that is taxed at the higher rate.

    • P(X > k) = 0.12, so P(X < k) = 0.88
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.88, μ = 2 400, σ = 350
    • k = 2810
  3. \(X \sim N(45, 6^2)\). Find the value of k such that \(P(40 < X < k) = 0.45\).

    • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 40, μ = 45, σ = 6: 0.2023
    • \(P(X < k) = 0.2023 + 0.45 = 0.6523\)
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.6523, μ = 45, σ = 6
    • k = 47.3
  4. The lengths of rope cut by a machine are normally distributed with mean 2.40 m and standard deviation 0.06 m.

    1. (a) Find the lower quartile.

      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.25, μ = 2.4, σ = 0.06
      • Q1 = 2.36
    2. (b) Find the upper quartile.

      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.75, μ = 2.4, σ = 0.06
      • Q3 = 2.44
    3. (c) Find the interquartile range.

      • IQR = Q3 − Q1 = 0.0809 (from the unrounded quartiles)
  5. The lifetime of a smartphone battery is normally distributed with mean 820 days and standard deviation 90 days. Find the probability that a battery lasts less than 700 days.

    • \(X \sim N(820, 90^2)\)
    • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 700, μ = 820, σ = 90
    • P = 0.0912
  6. The length of a pencil after sharpening is normally distributed with mean 17.5 cm and standard deviation 0.8 cm. In a box of 1 200 pencils, find the expected number longer than 18.5 cm.

    • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 18.5, upper = 10^99, μ = 17.5, σ = 0.8: 0.1056
    • \(1 200 \times 0.1056 = 127\)
    • About 127 pencils
  7. The braking distance of a model of car from 50 km/h is normally distributed with mean 24.5 m and standard deviation 1.8 m. The middle 80% of distances are called usual. Find the shortest and longest usual distance.

    • The middle 80% leaves 20%, so 10% in each tail
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.1, μ = 24.5, σ = 1.8: 22.2
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.9, μ = 24.5, σ = 1.8: 26.8
    • The interval is 22.2 to 26.8 m
  8. \(X \sim N(\mu, 4.5^2)\) and \(P(X < 62) = 0.15\). Find the value of \(\mu\).

    • The unknown is μ. σ = 4.5
    • From the calculator: solve normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 62, μ = m, σ = 4.5 equal to 0.15, for m
    • μ = 66.7

In context

  1. The time a student takes to complete a cross-country course is normally distributed with mean 52 minutes and standard deviation 6 minutes. 90% of students finish within t minutes. Find t.

    • \(P(X < t) = 0.9\)
    • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.9, μ = 52, σ = 6
    • t = 59.7 minutes
  2. The mass of a peach is normally distributed with mean 150 g and standard deviation 20 g. A grower sorts 3 000 peaches. Small peaches (under 130 g) sell for €0.25 each, medium peaches (130 g to 170 g) for €0.40 each and large peaches (over 170 g) for €0.60 each. Find the expected income.

    • P(small) = 0.159, P(medium) = 0.683, P(large) = 0.159 (calculator values, kept unrounded)
    • Expected numbers: 476 small, 2048 medium, 476 large
    • \(476 \times 0.25 + 2050 \times 0.40 + 476 \times 0.60\), using the unrounded numbers
    • Expected income = €1 223.80
  3. The distance, in kilometres, that a delivery driver travels to a customer is modelled by a normal distribution with mean 4 and standard deviation 2.2.

    1. (a) Find the probability that the model gives a negative value.

      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 0, μ = 4, σ = 2.2
      • P(X < 0) = 0.0345
    2. (b) What does your answer tell you about the model?

      • A distance cannot be negative, but the model gives it probability 0.0345.
      • The mean is close to 0 relative to the spread, so the normal curve is a poor fit.
  4. The mass of a bag from a packing machine is normally distributed with mean 1 015 g and standard deviation 12 g. A bag is underweight if its mass is less than 1 000 g. A sample of 15 bags is taken.

    1. (a) Find the probability that one is below the limit given in the question.

      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 1 000, μ = 1 015, σ = 12
      • p = 0.106
    2. (b) Find the probability that at least 2 bags in the sample are underweight.

      • \(Y \sim B(15, 0.1056)\)
      • From the calculator: binomial cdf with n = 15, p = 0.1056, upper = 1: 0.5193
      • P(Y ≥ 2) = 1 − 0.5193 = 0.481
    3. (c) State two assumptions you made in part (b).

      • The events are independent of each other.
      • The probability p is constant for every one.
  5. A machine fills bottles with juice. The volume is normally distributed with mean 330 ml. 2% of bottles contain less than 325 ml.

    1. (a) Find the standard deviation.

      • X ~ N(330, σ²). P(X < 325) = 0.02
      • From the calculator: solve normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 325, μ = 330, σ = s equal to 0.02, for s
      • σ = 2.43
    2. (b) Find the probability that a bottle holds more than 333 ml.

      • P(X > 333) = 1 − P(X < 333)
      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 333, upper = 10^99, μ = 330, σ = 2.4346…: 0.109

Stretch

  1. The lengths of 500 trout are normally distributed with mean 32 cm and standard deviation 4 cm. The shortest trout is 19 cm and the longest 45 cm. Complete a box plot of the lengths.

    1. (a) Find the median, lower quartile and upper quartile.

      • The median of a normal distribution is the mean: 32
      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.25, μ = 32, σ = 4: 29.3
      • From the calculator: inverse normal with area = 0.75, μ = 32, σ = 4: 34.7
    2. (b) Write the five numbers for the box plot and describe its shape.

      • Five numbers: 19, 29.3, 32, 34.7, 45
      • Draw the box from Q1 to Q3, the median line at the mean, and whiskers to the lowest and highest values. The plot is symmetric.
  2. The number of days that a parcel is delayed is modelled by a normal distribution with mean 4.0 and standard deviation 2.8.

    1. (a) How many standard deviations is the mean above 0?

      • \(4 \div 2.8 = 1.43\)
    2. (b) Explain why a normal distribution is not a suitable model.

      • 1.43 is less than 2.
      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = −10^99, upper = 0, μ = 4, σ = 2.8: 0.0766
      • The model gives a probability of 0.0766 to a negative delay, which cannot happen.
  3. The life, L hours, of a type of battery is normally distributed. 15% of batteries last less than 18 hours and 25% last more than 30 hours.

    1. (a) Find the mean and the standard deviation.

      • P(L < 18) = 0.15: inverse normal with area = 0.15, μ = 0, σ = 1: z = -1.0364
      • P(L > 30) = 0.25, so area = 0.75: z = 0.6745
      • μ − 1.0364σ = 18 and μ + 0.6745σ = 30
      • From the calculator: simultaneous equations: σ = 7.01, μ = 25.3
    2. (b) Find the probability that a battery lasts more than 36 hours.

      • From the calculator: normal cdf with lower = 36, upper = 10^99, μ = 25.2693…, σ = 7.0138…: 0.063

jmaths.xyz · AI HL · 13.2.9 Inverse normal calculations and normal practice