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IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation HL · AHL 8: Statistics 2 · AHL 8.10
Name Date
Unbiased estimates, validity and reliability Problem set B
Show the calculator output you use. Give estimates to 3 significant figures and justify every comment in context.
Each question matches the question with the same number in set A. Do the ones you got wrong there.
Difficulty: first skills applying them stretch
Skills
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Say whether each survey question is valid and whether its results are reliable. Justify each answer.
- (a) (a) 'Which film is the best ever made?'
- (b) (b) 'How many bedrooms are there in your home?'
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Find unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance from each sample. Give each to 3 significant figures.
- (a) (a) 26, 31, 18, 35, 29, 22
- (b) (b) −2, 7, −9, 4, 1, −5, 3
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The masses of 9 parcels have standard deviation \(s_n=0.84\) kg, found by dividing by n. Find the unbiased estimate \(s_{n-1}\) of the population standard deviation.
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A sample's unbiased standard deviation \(s_{n-1}\) is 1.0247 times its \(s_n\). Find the sample size n.
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In six races a swimmer's lengths-per-minute were 21, 17, 24, 18, 26 and 20. These are a random sample of her results.
- (a) Find \(\sum(x-\bar x)^2\) and hence the unbiased estimate of the variance of her lengths per minute.
- (b) For a different sample of 8 races, \(\sum x=96\) and \(\sum x^2=1210\). Find the unbiased estimate of the variance.
In context
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A park ranger catches trout to estimate the mean length of all trout in a region. The lengths (cm) of eight trout are 31.2, 28.5, 35.0, 30.1, 33.4, 29.8, 32.6, 30.9.
- (a) Find an unbiased estimate of the population mean.
- (b) Find an unbiased estimate of the population variance.
- (c) The ranger caught all eight trout in one pond. Explain why the estimates may not be valid.
- (d) How could the reliability of the result in part (a) be tested?
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A leisure centre leaves a questionnaire at the pool entrance: 'How many times did you swim at the centre last month?' After one week the responses were 9, 14, 6, 11, 10, 640.
- (a) Explain why it is reasonable to remove the value 640.
- (b) For the remaining values, find unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.
- (c) Comment on the content validity of the question.
- (d) Comment on the validity of the sampling method.
- (e) Is the estimate of the mean more likely to be an over-estimate or an under-estimate? Justify.
- (f) How could the reliability of the survey be improved?
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A teacher gives the students two different versions of a vocabulary test, each with 30 questions on the same topics, on the same day, and compares the two sets of scores.
- (a) Define reliability.
- (b) Name the reliability test used.
- (c) Suggest a different way to assess the reliability of the test.
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A tutor asks at the end of a course: 'Do you think this course will improve your exam grade?'
- (a) Define validity.
- (b) Give two reasons why this question does not have content validity.
- (c) Explain why making the questionnaire anonymous might improve its validity.
- (d) The tutor later compares the answers with an independent measure, the students' real exam grades. What aspect of validity is being tested by this comparison?
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A calculator's 1-Variable Stats for the heights of 9 randomly chosen seedlings shows \(\sigma_x=0.620\) cm and \(s_x=0.658\) cm.
- (a) Which of the two values is used to estimate the standard deviation of all seedlings? Give a reason.
- (b) Explain why the standard deviation that divides by n tends to be too small as an estimate of the population value.
- (c) Find the unbiased estimate of the population variance.
Stretch
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The masses (kg) of 10 suitcases are summarised by \(\sum x=130\) and \(\sum x^2=1790\). The raw list is lost.
- (a) Find an unbiased estimate of the population mean.
- (b) Find an unbiased estimate of the population variance.
jmaths.xyz · AI HL · AHL 8.10 Unbiased estimates of the mean and variance; validity and reliability