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IB Mathematics: Applications and Interpretation HL · 13.2: Probability Distributions · 13.2.11
Name Date
Poisson probabilities, mean and variance, and rescaling the rate Problem set A
Write the distribution, then use the Poisson pdf or cdf. Give probabilities to 3 significant figures.
Difficulty: first skills applying them stretch
Skills
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\(X \sim \text{Po}(2.7)\). Use your calculator to find each probability.
- (a) \(P(X = 0)\)
- (b) \(P(X = 3)\)
- (c) \(P(X = 5)\)
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\(X \sim \text{Po}(6)\). Use your calculator to find each probability.
- (a) \(P(X \le 4)\)
- (b) \(P(X < 4)\)
- (c) \(P(X \ge 7)\)
- (d) \(P(X > 7)\)
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\(X \sim \text{Po}(11)\). Write down the mean of X, then find the variance and the standard deviation of X.
- (a) The mean, E(X).
- (b) The variance, Var(X).
- (c) The standard deviation.
In context
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Cracks appear in a road surface independently of each other, at a constant average rate of 2.2 per 100 metres. X is the number of cracks in a 100 metre stretch. Find the probability that the stretch has
- (a) exactly 1 crack.
- (b) at least 3 cracks.
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A coastguard station receives distress calls independently of each other, at a constant average rate of 7.5 per week. X is the number of calls in a week. Write down the mean of X and find the standard deviation of X.
- (a) The mean of X.
- (b) The standard deviation of X.
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A call centre receives calls independently of each other, at a constant average rate of 24 per hour. Find the probability that fewer than 6 calls arrive in a 15 minute period.
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A bookshop sells copies of a novel independently of each other, at a constant average rate of 1.8 per day. Find the probability that at least 12 copies are sold in 5 days.
Stretch
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A production line has faults independently of each other, at a constant average rate of 5 per 4 hours. Find the probability that in a 1 hour period there are between 2 and 4 faults inclusive.
jmaths.xyz · AI HL · 13.2.11 Poisson probabilities, mean and variance, and rescaling the rate